Tuesday, December 22, 2009

Recurring Themes: Paul Krugman gets it

I have the theme several times here that many people on both the left and the right are constantly surprised when President Obama keeps his promises. It is the left's turn to get hyperbolic about President Obama delivering a health care reform pretty similiar to what he had promised. Paul Krugman calls out the left in his most recent column.

But that says more about the complainers than it does about Obama himself. If you actually paid attention to the substance of what he was saying during the primary, you realized that

... what you’re getting is what you should have seen


On the specific matter of this Health Care Bill, the more I read the complaints from the left (which I consider myself) the more delusional I think many of them may be. I would have liked to have gotten a better policy. You gotta ask what could have been done different. When it comes down to it there was no leverage on Lieberman. Krugman addresses as well.

But on health care, I don’t see how he could have gotten much more. How could he have made Joe Lieberman less, um, Liebermanish? And I have to say that much as I disagree with Ben Nelson about many things, he has seemed refreshingly honest, at least in the final stages, about what he will and won’t accept. Meanwhile the fact is that Republicans have formed a solid bloc of opposition to Obama’s ability to do, well, anything.

Wednesday, December 16, 2009

Kill The Bill?

Many progressives have started the chorus of Kill the Bill and start over.

My gut reaction is very similiar, and I understand the desire to do a better job than what this piece of legislation is going to end up looking like. In addition as an active progressive I can completely concur with the feelings of wanting to stick a fork in the eye of Senator Joe Lieberman. (FBI: you are monitoring this, that was a figure of speech).

Kill the Bill and start over with a clean slate. That is what is coming from various corners of the liberal masses. I believe one of their greatest concerns, which I fully agree with, is that politicians will attempt to sell this as the reform that was promised and say all done. The result being a water downed bill and then politicians turning their attention to more important things you know like running for reelection.

That would be very difficult to swallow as a person who has fought hard over the last 14 months or so trying to improve our system. However, is there a middle ground to grab hold of? Is it possible to Pass the Bill and start all over?

In football it is often the right call to punt on 4th down even when you were so close to getting that first down. Why? Football is a game of field possession. When you make great strides to move the ball down the field, it often makes more sense to punt to protect that field position instead of going for it all, missing, and setting the opposition up in even better position.

I know, a very clunky comparison. I guess what I am asking is it better to take what we got and keep fighting? One of the very simplest and most important aspects of Health Care Reform was that no person should go broke from getting sick. I guess, if the bill before us does that and I am not sure it does, then maybe we should punt.

I reserve the right to say that there is potential that this bill does more damage than good. In that case Kill the Bill might be the right call.

Friday, December 4, 2009

A Picture is worth a 1000 jobs


There is a danger of posting this picture at the same time Paul Krugman ( just to the right of here) is talking about the possibility of a double dip recession. That being said:
The graph provides for an interesting peek at the economy through the job loss lens. I have always stated that the President is like the quarterback of the economy, he gets too much credit for a good economy and too much blame for a bad one. What sticks out to me is that job losses peaked in January of '09 and we have had a fairly steady improvement since. Secondly, while I do not know the precise number, the majority of the stimulus funds are still in the pipeline. Hopefully, they will counteract the possibility of the double dip recession.

Wednesday, December 2, 2009

You Spin me right round, Baby like a record Baby Right Round

http://thehill.com/homenews/senate/70107-new-public-option-plan

Reports of the demise of the Opt Out Public Option are coming in fairly steadily and the reports of the next round of compromise are hitting the news. This morning "The Hill" is reporting that Senator Reid has asked Senators Schumer, Carper, Landrieu to work on a compromise that addresses the few Dems left to get on board.

The reporting suggest a new version of the Public Option will emerge next week.

Drum roll please the new Plan will be

National Public Option Opt-In with Triggers.

Hmmmm. Now why does that sound so familiar?

Oh yeah
Here is my proposed compromise (mind you we have compromised way beyond anything I would truly liked to have seen). Nationwide State Opt-in plus triggers by state.
http://mysteryj.blogspot.com/2009/11/health-care-debate.html

Tuesday, December 1, 2009

A note on Reoccurring Themes:

I have fallen into the habit of returning to some earlier themes time and time again. I am not sure if this is a sign of brilliance of laziness. Such themes have been I Love Maps and today the fact that both sides the left and the right are aghast that President Obama continues to do what he campaigned on.

Today's edition is on the Afghanistan troop deployment. After long deliberation President Obama has ordered an additional 30,000 troops to Afghanistan over the next 6 months. Personally I have rather mixed feelings on this matter. I will continue to consider and work through. The point of this post, regardless of the left's hand wringing and the right's complaining about dithering, this is pretty much what Senator Obama campaigned on.

A central piece of his foreign affairs plan was to remove ourselves from Iraq to focus on Afghanistan. He often made a point about deliberation and thoughtful consideration and this exactly how we got to today's announcement of the troop escalation. While I may not be very happy with this announcement I can not be surprised.

Saturday, November 21, 2009

Health Care Debate

The vote is scheduled for tonight. The Senate is a curious creature, by design. Tonight's historic vote is simply to decide whether or not to debate the bill. The Republicans will threaten to filibuster whether or not there can be a debate. Which will require 60% of the US Senate to vote for debating the bill. This is not voting on voting on whether or not to vote on the bill or voting on whether or not to pass the bill. This is a vote on whether or not to talk about the bill on the Senate floor.

Second thought ,there are reports out that a handful of Senators are still searching for a Compromise, sigh. Mind you these are merely the Democrats compromising among themselves and maybe Olympia Snowe. The debate started public option vs. no public option, add in possible triggers that would never be triggered, opt-in to state wide plans and possible statewide coops. The latest manifestation was the nation public option with the States having the ability to opt out of the plan if they didn't want to be apart.

The most recent discussion is back to triggers this time the triggers would be more stringent and take place in 2013 when the rest of the reforms take place.

Here is my proposed compromise (mind you we have compromised way beyond anything I would truly liked to have seen). Nationwide State Opt-in plus triggers by state.

Setup the plan allow states that want to participate to join in from the beginning do so. There would be a whole slew of states that would likely do so. In addition for those states that do not opt-in would be governed under the trigger mechanism. If insurance coverage in any state does not meet the affordability standards established they would be required to offer the National Plan in their State Insurance Exchange.

This thought occurred to me a couple of weeks ago. I didn't do much with it at the time because the Opt-out option was gaining traction and looked like it had more than a fighting chance. We are getting close to crunch time.

Senator Schumer and Senator Carpenter are reportedly the central figures in working between the Conservative Dems and the rest of the caucus especially the Progressives. They were the duo that came up with the Opt-out compromise. We will see if they are able to patch something together.

Last note on Compromise. The progressives are in a serious bind. First, let's establish there are a large number of them that truly wanted a single payer system akin to something between England and France. There are a large number of people in this country that would jump at such a system. However, the progressives never really brought that to the table. They compromised before they ever started the discussion. Their compromise was the public option. Ok so true single payer is not going to happen we won't fight you on that as long as you give us the Public Option. That will help us swallow the fact that we are not getting what we and many, many of our constituents want.

Then the conservative started chipping away at the public option with opt-in, triggers, co-ops etc. Getting closer to the final voting the progressives were forced to find a compromise that they could live with. That compromise was the National Plan with State Opt-out. This was a big but grudgingly acceptable step away from a National Public Option. Not to mention how far away from their original position of a National Single Payer system. Now that we are on the brink of voting 3 - 4 Senators who have not moved 1 iota from their original position are calling for even greater compromise. The Conservative Dems are in a much stronger position Vi's a vie the Progressives. This going to come down to high wire chicken.

Wednesday, November 18, 2009

I love maps - flu edition

I have linked to this previously. However, that was prior to the Swine Flu outbreak. Click on the link to go to Google's Flu Trends page. Google provides a measure of flu activity by utilizing searches that are flu related. Their results have proven accurate. The page allows you check the world the US and even down to the State Level dating back to 2003.

Beware the ides of November

The 15th has come and gone and with a glut of new polling information has been released. With out having taken a full look, I have come to a couple of thoughts. I will attempt to flesh them out in further detail later.

The one area that strikes me first is Health Care Reform and the Public Option. The Public Option has consistently out polled the President and the complete Reform program. I am seeing reports between 61 - 72%. The stat that struck is from the CBS poll showing that voters under 65 years old prefer the Public Option 63 - 27%. That is a 36 point shelacking. That should be a pretty clear cut message.

Friday, November 6, 2009

Required Viewing

I was just saying yesterday that the Daily Show should be required viewing for everyone. There is currently no one who cuts to the core of today's world as the daily show does. Last night he does a great job of highlighting the snake oil salesman Glen Beck.


The Daily Show With Jon StewartMon - Thurs 11p / 10c
The 11/3 Project
www.thedailyshow.com
Daily Show
Full Episodes
Political HumorHealth Care Crisis

Shame

News is breaking that Citi and Goldman Sachs received several hundred doses of Sine flu Vac. This could be the most damaging event the Obama admin has faced. It might go away quickly. This is the cross roads of gov involvement in health care, the "evils" of Wall Street, and political tone deafness. There is no way to react other than complete horror a this story.

There is no where to point but at HHS. It is not in Obama's nature to over react. It willbe intresting to watch this unfold. They are Going to need to handle this every bit as deftly As they did the bitter comments in last years campaign and the Rev. Wright situation.

The commanding story of the tragedy at Ft. Hood may keep peoples attention away from story.

Wednesday, November 4, 2009

Go West Gay Man (and Husband)

Below I have diaried my thoughts on the loss of the right to marriage in Maine. There is good news in that Washington State passed a law last night allowing same sex couples to have absolute equality as Hetero couples minus the title Married.

Mixed feelings on this.

While I do believe as a nation we are heading toward a day when Gays and Lesbian are allowed to marry in peace. Some times I am pleased with the progress and sometimes disturbed by the slowness.

Carpetbaggers

The simple take on NY-23. Carpetbaggers. People do not like others coming from outside and tell them how to do things. It was bad enough that Hoffman was an outsider to begin with. However, when National outsiders from Palin to Pawlenty start second guessing them that was enough. In order for the Democrat to recieve 50% of vote in this district means an awful lot of people who consider themselves to be Republicans decided to vote for the democrat to send a message to the outsiders. Think about it, they very easily could have decided to go ahead and vote for the Republican.

This is a lesson that should be learned by progressives, conservatives, dems and repubs alike.

Black Wednesday

People in Maine had the ability to walk into a voting booth and cast a vote on someone else's marriage.

When you put it that way it seems kind of strange. Of all people, Jesse Ventura former wrestler former Governor of Minnesota said it best. You can't put peoples rights up for a vote, if you did we would still have slavery in certain parts of the country.

People went into the voting booth yesterday and passed judgement on people they don't know and they won't meet. They voted to tell their neighbor what they could and couldn't do and with whom they could and couldn't do it with.

Over the last nine months there has been so much hyperventilating over Obama being a fascist socialist tyrant taking away our freedoms and our future. What was yesterday's vote about if not about the freedom to tell the person you love that you want to be together forever and you want the world to know.

There is much to discuss about what all the other races mean, but no other question will have as direct of an impact as yesterday's vote in Maine.

Tuesday, November 3, 2009

Election Day 2009 Edition

There are 4 races that I have paid modest attention to. My biggest care at this time is the Question 1 issue on the ballot in Maine. To recap, the State of Maine passed a law legalizing same sex Marriage. There is a measure on the ballot today asking the people of Maine if they want to overturn this new law. A NO vote is in favor of keeping Same Sex Marriage legal.


This is the election that will have the most immediate impact on people's lives. Therefore this is the one that I will be most rooting for, while it may not get as much attention as the other races. To be clear I am strongly in favor of allowing the law to stand and let people marry who they want.

Regarding what this evening's election means to President Obama's Presidency, the answer is nothing. This will be a one - two day story and then onto bigger better things. The final outcome of the Healthcare Debate, Jobs, and the economy will weigh much heavier and longer on the assessment of his efforts in office.

For pure sideshow entertainment I will being keeping an eye out for the NY-23. My guess is that the Conservative Hoffman will win narrowly. My hope of course would be for the Democrat to pull out a razor thin victory. (I am still holding out hope that the sense of New Yorkers will reject the carpetbagger like campaign the Hoffman candidacy has turned into)

Monday, November 2, 2009

The Silent Successes

The Wall Street Journal discusses unheralded accomplishments of the Obama Administration. They mean it to be a wake up call or a warning shot. I call it the will of the people.

Sunday, November 1, 2009

New York State of ?

Quick Recap

NY-23 is New York Congressional District that has been Republican and should be Republican for as long as it last.

There is an election on Tuesday with a New York Democrat and New York Republican (Read: Moderate) and a New York Conservative (read Wing Nut)

Along the Way to the Republican winning like usual the Tea Partiers (baggers, you choose) decided a New York Republican wasn't good enouth. Sarah Palin et al gets behind the Conservative candidate. The Republican Candidate drops out. The Democrat is gracious the Conservative Candidate is a dick. Now the the Republican Candidate is endorsing the Democrat.

Read for a local's perspective.


"What happened in NY-23 is that a bunch of confederate pukes came in and told a perfectly nice, socially moderate, Republican Albany hack (and I mean that affectionately) to go get bent.

And, and as a New Yorker, that pisses me off."


As you can imagine there is great speculation on how this will play out on Tuesday. The above quote sums up what I think and hope will be the general reaction in New York.

Friday, October 30, 2009

Fox v. Obama

Ok, I tried and tired and I could not get the embed to work. So take the time to jump over to the Daily Show and get a run down on What The Fox is going on between Fox and the White House.


Quick take

1) Fox Reporters - Report on Asinine story
2) Fox Analyst - Get outrage make hysterical comments
3) Fox Reporters - Report "Some" are outraged and saying ...

Take a moment and take a look

Thursday, October 29, 2009

Respect Dignity

The first time since 2001 when the war in Afghanistan started a US President receives the fallen soldiers at Dover Air Force Base.

Remember up until this year no photo's were allowed to be taken of this ceremony.

Tuesday, October 27, 2009

Lieberman's a What?

Last Friday I wrote that Lieberman was going to be the "real Wild card".

Reports are coming out that he has stated he will vote to fillibuster the Health Care Reform Bill as it currently stands. Referencing that he wants no publicloption what so ever.

It appears this may have been the fight the White House wanted to avoid if the reports are to be believed. This is my guess on how this plays out. If Lieberman votes for the fillibuster he may well have two or three conservative Democrats follow suit, if he falls in line so will they. The concern I have re: Lieberman is the Democrats have limited leverage on him. It appears to limited to his commitee chairmanship. The other Democrats are still beholden to the party in some fashion. Lieberman lost the parties nomination and had to run as an Independant.

This is but one more wrinkle to watch.

Here are my comments regarding Lieberman last November read them and judge for yourself.

Speaking of Triggers, I think it is time for Obama to pull it

I have tried to maintain an even keel in following and participating in the Health Care Debate. Never trying to get too excited or too disappointed. That has served me well as this has been a long drawn out debate. It has had it's ups back in June, it's downs in August, and a slow steady rise through September and October.

There has been a lot of pressure on behalf of progressive Health Care Reform. Many of my freinds on the left of me have been dis-spirited by the lack of Obama's taking the debate by the throat. I have continued to cut him some slack, preferring to look at the outcome as much as the process. As we get closer and closer to voting on the floors of Congress, reform is inching it's way along in an acceptable position.

A mere two weeks ago discussing this issue I shared my opinion with a number of fellow Obama volunteers that it was too early to be disappointed by his side line approach. After all it was his speech to Congress in September that put a floor under the falling polls and sparked the resurrection of the debate in a more progressive fashion.

I was pleased to hear that the pressure on Reid to include a Public Option in the Senate bill was successfull. Once it is in it will be almost impossible to strip it out. In the end what whatever finally comes out of the Senate will be the closest proximity to what the final bill will look like. I have always believed that Obama would wait till Democrats got the ball down to the Red Zone and then would join in the battle to help push the ball across the end zone. He has was successful in staying sufficiently above the fray to not allow himself to be overly identified with any specific piece of legislation. This would allow him to take possession of whatever the final product was and run it into the end zone.

That is why the reporting that at first the "White House" pushed back against Reid including the Opt-out Public Option instead of the Triggered Option is so very disappointing. TPM has a report discussing the relationship between Reid and the "White House" in getting the bill passed.

Now in my wildest dreams,
I suspected that Obama was allowing Reid to get to left of the White House as Reid was losing support from the Liberals and is going to need their help in his election next year. This would allow Obama then to stand in the middle and say this is the bill that Congress has come up with and now that we are here we need to get it passed.

You can imagine the disappointment when Chuck Todd of NBC reports a quote such as

White House Tells Reid 'Don't Come Crying to Us When You Need That Last Vote'

I'll continue to maintain my even keel going into the home stretch of this debate as it is far from over. Constantly reminding myself that the final product is much more important than the process. That being said President Obama could be find himself having to do some searious making up to all of us who jumped into the fray last fall.

Coming full circle Chuck Todd has issued statements walking back from the quote about don't come crying to me. It appears this was supposed to have been his own clarification and not a direct quote. That makes a large difference. This eipisode is just a reminder of the importance of taking this whole debate in stride.

Unbelievable

An impressive talent by any measure, take a look.



Watch CBS News Videos Online

Friday, October 23, 2009

Superfreak contd.

Two more post from Brad Delong on the Superfreakonomics controversy. One is an interview with one of the scientist that the authors interviewed extensively and applied a few of his quotes out of context and the second is a general scolding of their reaction to all the criticism. Again I think they may have gotten too cute for their own good. I have no idea what their true beliefs are. What I have sensed from this debate is they or their publisher was hoping to stir up some sales by playing with the Climate Change deniers.

One doesn't have to be in the publishing business to realize how well conservative books sell. Glen Beck, Bill O' Reilly, Michelle Malkin. This may have been an attempt to flirt with this book buying crowd while still appealing to the crowd that bought all those Freakonomics books, which there is a good chance wasn't the same crowd. They are now getting called out for getting too close to the line. My first hint was the Title / Subtitle

SuperFreakonomics: Global Cooling, Patriotic Prostitutes, and Why Suicide Bombers Should Buy Life Insurance (Hardcover)


Shocking isn't, well that is what is supposed to do Sex, Politics, Murder.


Health Care in a Nut Shell

The Reader's Digest version.

Harry Reid is leaning toward including the Public Option with an Opt Out provision. He doesn't necessarily have 60 votes in hand but thinks he might be close. Yesterday's leak is a trial balloon to see what kind of pushback he gets from his own party. Snowe (a Republican) bit and said she could not vote for this. No other Democrats have come out so strong. The real wild card will be Joe Lieberman of Conneticut. He is an independant who plays with the Democrats. Remember Joe was John McCain's big guy last election. President Obama came in and saved his skin after the election and let him stay on as Chairman of his Committee. Could this be the payback time?

Remember a couple of days I linked a post to Fivethirtyeight.com that was suggesting the Opt Out will be the final version. Yesterday's news looks to give that assessment some weight.



Wednesday, October 21, 2009

Tuesday, October 20, 2009

POOO - Pulbic Option Opt Out

Instinctively I like the optout public option. Fivethirtyeight.com discusses why they think that is the plan gaining steam.




A little midafternoon Cocktail Entertainment

Let your Fingers doing the Talking

28,000 and Counting

That was the number of calls made to Congress in support of Health Care Reform as of 10:43 am Central time. We'll See how it goes from here. If you want to add your voice to the debate and the hundreds of thousands of calls follow the link. If anyone bothers to call, leave a comment as to what number your call was.

100,000 Calls to Congress


Drum Roll Please.

10:43 am 28,000 Calls

Noon Central Time 59,390 Calls.

At 2:43 Central Time 142,396 Calls.

6:00 PM Central 212,967 Calls

Huff Post "Congress getting Completely Crushed"

Monday, October 19, 2009

What are those rippers 0

I recently had a spike in traffic on my site due to link from a newspaper. I was looking through the traffic and discovered a browser "Rippers 0". I was unable to determine what this is and it sounded slightly ominous.

After doing a little research I become more confused and a little concerned.

Further digging and I was able to become somewhat certain of what is going on. The only reason I am blogging about it here is that there doesn't appear to be many answers out there

Here is my guess. It appears that FireFox has a video addon to its toolbar that assist in downloading and viewing video that is embedded on websites. Thus ripping the video. Anybody out there with a similiar question I hope this helps and if you are able to prove or disprove please let me know.

Keep the Freak Going

I am not completely certain as to why, however, I find the current battle over "SuperFreakonomics" to be extremely interesting. I am sure it is in part due to the fact of how fascinating I found "Freakonomics" to be and now the authors are being called out by people I have a great deal of respect for as well.

This is where it all started for me
krugman. part 1
Krugman part 2

I read this article that I wanted to add to the current discussion.
Felix Salmon takes a whack at the authors. Apprently he wrote rather critically about the book Freakonomics back at its release.

Brad Delong takes a whack at the this issue. Interestingly Paul Krugman links this article even though Delong calles Krugman's take excessive. Delong takes a more middle of the road path but comes close to finishing where Krugman and Salmon do on this question.

Brad Delong's last word. We think.

And for the Counterpoint here is the Freak's take
Anatomy of a Smear
Global Warming Denial Greatly exaggerated .

Saturday, October 17, 2009

Freaks vs. Geeks

Checking the blog from my phone I noticed a great juxtaposition on the right side of the page. I respect and enjoy the work of both Paul Krugman (Nobel prize economics) and Steven Levit (Freakonomics).

It appears we have a little battle of the blogs going on over a chapter of Levitt's new book Superfreakonomics. The controversy stems from a chapter Global Cooling. The back and forth is interesting to read. I am sure it doesn't hurt the publicityfor the book launch. Take a look at the blogs to right regarding global Cooling and enjoy.

Krugman on SuperFreakonomics

Wednesday, October 14, 2009

Interactive Chart of the Various Health Care Proposals

Interactive graph of the various Health reform proposals on the table.

We're No. 1 (again)

Since we are on the topic of polling, I wanted to tie in a poll to the story of Nobel Peace Prize.

I have stated my thoughts earlier on why one could make a legitimate argument for President Obama winning the Nobel Peace Prize. As a belated piece of evidence (one that was much quoted last week ) there is a poll ranking the top 50 countries in the world as perceived by world citizenry the results are as follows


www.gfkamerica.com/
1.
United States / 2008 Germany
2.
France / 2008 France
3.
Germany / 2008 United Kingdom
4.
United Kingdom / Canada
5.
Japan / 2008 Japan
6.
Italy / 2008 Italy
7.
Canada / 2008 United States
8.
Switzerland / 2008 Switzerland
9.
Australia / 2008 Australia
10.
Spain, Sweden (tie) / 2008 Sweden

As you can see in the eyes of the world America's image has jumped back to the top in one year.

I am a poll watcher

As you might be able to tell from my most recent post and a number of my earlier posts, I like to look at polls (probably way too much). My favorite resource for poll watching is Pollster.com .

They provide a great wealth of raw polling data and allow the user to filter on many different levels. One of the things I frequently do in an attempt to get what I believe to be more accurate picture of current polling is to filter out some of the polls that tend to be outside the norm and the daily tracking polls that are fair, however, they tend to overweight the results since they post numbers every day.



I was pleased to run across the following article at Pollster.com that discusses this and attempts to ascertain an accurate look at President Obama's approval trend line over the course of the last few months.

http://www.pollster.com/

Tuesday, October 13, 2009

Public Option more Popular than Health Care Reform and President Obama

I noticed something that didn't seem right when going over a batch of the new polling that has been released since the first of the month. I was particularly interested in how the public option was polling. I started to notice a trend it appeared the the public option was still polling rather high compared to the more generic questions of Health Care Reform and Presidential approval.


I have gone back to the three polls that I could find that had a) Presidential Approval, b) Health Care Reform Approval, and c) Public Option Approval. I came up with three polls to compare
and charted the average approval rating from the three polls

Health Care 40%
President 54%
Public Option 58%




CBS News

Ipsos / McClathcy

Quinnipiac

At first I scratched my head on this. This morning I am setting around waiting fort the Senate Finance Committee (bill with out a public option) to vote and it seem to make more and more sense. Is it as simple as the 18% disparity between approving of health care reform and approving of the public option are those of us who know reform will not work with out a robust public option?

Monday, October 12, 2009

AHIP argues for Public Option, Thank You

The easiest way I can think to break down the proposed health care reform is as follows. (this is extremely simplified)

1) Forbid Insurance companies from denying or cancelling coverage for preexisting conditions. Forbid Insurance companies from charging those who get sick more than those who are healthy.

2) Coupled with the above changes. The government will a) require large employers to provide health insurance b) requiring individuals who are not covered by large employers to buy heath insurance. (this will increase the number of customers by 40 something million helping to offset the additional cost from step 1)

3) the government will give assistance to those individuals who they deem can not afford the required insurance.

As a result we now have a system where insurance companies will have to pay out higher cost as a result of step 1) These companies will have greater incomes because they will have 40 million new customers to take premiums from.


The remaining question is if everyone in the country is required to have health insurance one way or another and there are literally only a few insurance companies to choose from what will keep the companies from raising and raising their rates like they have over the last decade?

As a matter of fact the report that the Insurance Industry just commissioned has said they will in fact raise rates by 110% if this reform is passed.

This is why a truly effective public option is required. Health Care Reform without a competitive public option is simply a hand out to the private companies that have seen their profits increase by over 400% over the last 10 years.

That Dirty Job is no trouble for the Wunder Boner.

This is a little outside of the political spectrum. However, it caught my attention this morning.

I was looking through the unintended creepiest ads over at Huffington Post.

Creepy Ads The worst of which would be great SNL Commercial parodies.





What truly caught my attention is that the voice over sounds like Mike Rowe of Dirty Jobs fame. I am pretty sure he started his career or at least got his break as a voice over announcer. You can hear him on the Discover Channel on shows such as Deadliest Catch, Monster Garage, etc.

Saturday, October 10, 2009

Peace be with all of us.

I must admit I was as surprised as anyone upon the announcement of President Obama's Nobel Peace Prize. I spent a good part of the time yesterday tormenting those on the right whose heads are continuing to explode.

Another good part of the day I set about to understand the decision. I have to admit I am guilty of what many / most of us are guilty of. Seeing the world from the American Perspective. Remember this is an International Peace Prize not a US Peace Prize.

For the last 8 years the United States under the leadership of George Bush has done pretty much whatever we wanted militarily. The United States had said we are going back into the business of building new types of nuclear weapons. The United States had said we will torture anyone the President / Vice President wishes. We will hold people in secret prisons as long as we desire without cause. We stated, will not talk to anyone who does not agree with us. Let us not forget the true Bush doctrine "you are either with us or against us".

Now when I tuck my son into bed at night and I close my eyes real tight none of that affects me. As a result when a new President comes into office and changes all of the above that as well does not affect me either. However, since this is an international Peace Prize I must attempt to perceive this world from someone else's perspective.

One might understand the new sense of peace that people of the world must sense when they put their children to bed at night. They now know that the World's Most Powerful country is a country that is attempting to be its neighbor not it's master. One can make a valid argument, that shift deserves recognition. I have written only half jokingly that President Obama won the Nobel Peace Prize for "peacefully overthrowing a powerful, violent, and corrupt regime".

Two images come to mind, one is the image of the Iraqi reporter throwing a shoe at President Bush and one is of 200,000 Europeans showing up to listen to candidate Obama speak in Germany. It was only a year ago during the campaign that many, many people (myself included) were talking about the importance that President Obama would make as the new face of the world's most powerful country. Maybe we shouldn't be surprised by this award after all.


I could have saved you a couple of moments by posting this video first it is definately worth a look

Tuesday, September 8, 2009

Letter to the Superintendant of Schools

Open to Letter to Superintendant of Schools Quincy, IL


I am writing to express complete amazament and embarrassment at the decision made to "protect" students from President Obama's stay in school message.

The fact that you were a teacher and coach of mine, I have attempted to see the situation from your point of view and give you the benefit of the doubt. However, I can not understand the cowardly approach taken at the behest of a handful of hyperpartisan members of the community. As a teacher, as a coach, as a superintendant of schools leadership is one of the most improtant requirements. It is obvious in this situation such leadership was traded for an attempt to find an easy answer.


I must say this decision reflects extremely poorly on this community in the light that a great number of Quincy students have a personal connection to this President. Then Senator Obama's trip to Quincy a mere 16 months ago shook their hands and touched their imagination and now they are given the message that the President is not to be trusted is simply heartbreaking.


It is too late to make this decision right. I can only hope that the decision makers in future display the backbone to fight for our children and not cower from the mob

Wednesday, July 15, 2009

7 Degrees of Seperation (or 2 degrees from white male)

Many times I have found that I have a kernel of an idea, a concept. At a later time a I come across a writer / thinker / pundit who has the same or similiar notion and much more fully fleshes it out. This occurred again in a small part with Eugene Robinson's column in the Washington Post. This column has been a good deal of attention from others in the "chattering class". Jeffery Toobin of CNN has touched upon it and I have seen it referenced in other columns.


Two major points of the article


1) White Male is not an ethnicity it is not a gender. White Male is the standard by which all else is to be measured. White Male is the neutral and everything else is a deviation of that standard.


2) Much of the anger over the "wise Latina" comment is based upon the concept that a powerful, wealthy, white, male could not get away with saying such a thing. This is probably true. But, let's be honest the historical context of what it means to have been a white male and what it means to have been a latina is completely different in this country.


I read a quick note to the editor in this mornings paper. The writer stated that if a Senator doesn't realize that a man and a woman can look at the same set of facts and come up with two different answers, that person doesn't deserve to be a Senator.


This statement which has a humorous side to it relates back to the concept of the standard the normal. If White Male is the standard. Then if a White Male and a Minority Female look at the same set of facts and get two different answers. Well the White Male's answer is the normal or the standard and anything else must be less than correct.


As you can tell by all the above babbling I am not a writer by trade or study. Take a moment to read Eugene Robinson's Column.


http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/

Wednesday, July 1, 2009

Rep. Blaine Luetkemeyer - R (MO-9) thinks 50% of Republicans are Socialist

I have posted a diary over at Dailykos I will try to bring over here in full shortly. In the mean time jump over there and have a look.

Friday, May 22, 2009

If you say it enough it must be true

Or that seems to be Vice-President Dick Cheney's mind set. McClatchy does a great job of reviewing Cheney's speech and breaking it down. I alternate between thinking he is truly delusional about reality, or if he doesn't realize the same smoke and mirrors that worked for most of his career is no longer cutting it. Damn internet.

http://news.yahoo.com/s/mcclatchy/20090521/pl_mcclatchy/3237981

Wednesday, May 20, 2009

A look at giving

I have been absent for a while. Spending way too much time on facebook I have to admit.

I read this article this morning and I wanted to spread it. It compares the giving / charitible habits of people of various income levels and how they are affected by tough economic times. The results might be surprising.


http://www.mcclatchydc.com/226/story/68456.html

Wednesday, May 6, 2009

Where are we today?


Nate Silver takes a look two months later

http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2009/05/obama-bull-market.html

Looking at the stock market, of course, is a relatively asinine way to evaluate the performance of the economy, much less the performance of the Presidency. But I think conservatives may have done themselves a real disservice by making the market the benchmark for Obama's success back when the major indices were slumping in late February and early March.





The stock market can be a very entertaining measure to watch. However two more important numbers to watch are the actual unemployment rate which is currently setting at 14.8% and the 3 month bond rate is effectively 0.0%. The major the reason that the bond rate is important is that eliminates one of the major tools of the federal reserve to fight recessions, which is lowering interest rates. For a comparison the recession in early 1980's that many people like to compare to we were experienced 3 month bond rates at around 20%. They had been purposefully lifted to that hight to break inflation.

Those high rates were one of the major reasons for the recession of the early 80's. Essentially Volker said we have to get inflation under control even at the cost of a recession. Once inflation was tampered, and the recession got sufficiently severe the course was reversed and rates were lowered. The rates were lowered by about half down to below 10% wthin the year.

With zero % bond rates the choices are limited to do nothing, lower taxes, increase spending, or combination of both. Obama has settled on the combination of both. I am certain a large percentage of tax cuts will be used to pay off debt or save which on a micro level makes the most sense. However, such actions would have limited stimulative effect. One can argue that government spending can be less efficient than private spending. However, one only needs to witness what many of the financial institutions did with their bailout money to see that the private sector may use the money in a way that is going to stimulate a broad based economy. One last number is the average approval rating which is at 59%. Now one should not govern based on polling. But I think this is indicative that the general population is not equally represented by the stock market numbers. So can he recover? hmmm.


This was the answer I gave a friend that asked me of President Obama could recover from the stock market losses. I gotta say I am still satisfied with this anwers. I wonder if O' Reilly, Hannity, Limbaugh still stand by their version of reality.

A couple of interesting notes just to show how much of a blow hard these guys are. First and most importantly it is very interesting that Limbaugh particularly goes back to Obama owning the stock market as of Sep 15th. If memory informs me correctly isn't that the week that Lehman Brothers goes bust and the Market tanks? So the inevitable President elect is responsible for the market more so that the actually facts of the collapse. Secondly, you know the money managers of the world are the smartest people in the world and they knew Obama was going to win. It would be interesting to go back and listen to the right and see if they were convinced that Obama was going to win between Sep 15 and Nov 4th.

Okay this has really gotten them thinking. I just told you why Rush uses the timing he does to talk about the stock market performance. I took a look at some more info. From Sep 1 before our Financial crisis to election day the market on average was down 25 - 30%. Since Election day to present the Nasdaq is up 9%, S&P up 1.5%, and Dow is down 2.3%. Interesting.

One more thing to look at:

Another attempt to Privatize Profits, Socialize losses

This is something that is kind of under the radar, but interesting once you scratch the surface. A quick summation is in the negiotiations of the Chrysler situation The US Government agreed to take losses, the UAW agreed to take losses, Management agreed to losses, Fiat agreed to take a hit in the deal. Now a group of hedge fund managers who were invested in Chrsyler tried a drive a hard bargain. They refused to share in the losses on par with the other parties.

They drove a hard bargain asking for more than their fair share with the Obama Administration. The Obama Admin. didn't blink and the agreement came to pass without the support of the Hedge Fund Managers. Now the process is rolling along and the Hedge Fund Managers are crying fowl. There have been headlines to the fact that they were "bullied". (Now just a side note, there preference is to force the company into liquidation. This would probably afford them a few cents on the dollar more return. The cost literally tens of thousands of jobs.) Notice so far all legal rulings have sided with the Obama Admin and with Chrysler. There is no accusation of any laws being broken or bent.

http://www.balloon-juice.com/?p=20797

Wednesday, April 29, 2009

"Just because he exists"

http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0409/21843.html

The above is an interesting article about the republicans confusion on how to react to President Obama. There was one quote that particularly stuck to me.

“Our base is getting frustrated,” said one top Republican at the Capitol. “They hate Barack Obama.”


This quote reminded of the quote I used in the title. "just because he exists" This is what one teabag supporter stated when it was pointed out that any parrallel to the Boston tea party was inaccurate because, you know they had rep. they just lost. Then it was pointed out that this particular person would be getting a tax cut under President Obama. His final statement in frustation was that he didn't like him "just because he exists".

Tuesday, April 28, 2009

A little fun



And the Hannity's of the world are spending time talking about Obama using a Teleprompter?

Tuesday, April 21, 2009

Wanna See Somthing Scarey?

http://www.slate.com/id/2216238/

Watch this interactive map show job losses and gains by county for past 2 years.

Friday, April 17, 2009

A few good quick reads.

http://blogs.usatoday.com/oped/2009/04/tax-rhetoric-vs-reality.html#more



In fact, even if you add all the other federal levies people pay in addition to income taxes — such as payroll taxes for Social Security and Medicare and excise taxes for gasoline, alcohol, tobacco and other items — the combined federal tax rate was 20.7% in 2006, the latest year for which figures are available. That's less than one percentage point higher than the three-decade low of 19.8%, reached in 2003.



Another Blog Read worth the time

Sarah Palin depressing supporters on the right

Take a look at Krugmans newest post. He hits alot of the concerns I feel. I would love to feel all is getting better. I am more concerned that we are currently fooling ourselves. Krugman is not shy about disagreeing with the administration. I guess it is a matter of hope for the best prepare for the worst.

http://www.nytimes.com/2009/04/17/opinion/17krugman.html?_r=1&partner=rssnyt&emc=rss

Thursday, April 16, 2009

Bi-partisan - Grass Roots Protest (really?)


This video shows a Florida progressive who happens to get a chance to speak at one of the tea bag events.

Wednesday, April 15, 2009

Worth the Price of Admission

I was finishing up our taxes yesterday (I always wait till the end, for no reason). The little guy was inquisitive, like always, what I was doing. He then followed up with what are taxes.

Hmm. How to boil this down to a 6 year olds level. The simplest concept I could think of, "it is the price we pay to live in America".

This answered seemed to satisfy his question for now. I hope he continues to ponder on this and come back to it, like he does on most issues.

This conversation got me thinking. How do we compare and what do we get for our price of admission. Well basically there are only a few countries that have lower taxes than the US. Korea, Japan, Mexico, and Ireland.

Personally I might consider living in Japan but I am not sure about the rest. I have often considered my self lucky. I was born right here in the middle of the greatest most free country in the world. I was born in a time of prosperity and growing freedoms. Now of course I had no choice where or when I was born.

What if we did can you think of a better time and a better place to be born. What if your first stop before being born was a ticket booth and you could pick a country to be born in. Considering all the options and their "admission price" (taxes)can you think of a better value than America offers. I think it is worth pondering on this tax day.

Tuesday, April 14, 2009

What are the chances she will show up at a Tea Party

Dick Potatoe or a Dick Army (inside joke, kind of)

Who will join the chorus?

Crunching the numbers

There has been quite a bit of discussion about whether or not President Obama is the most "polarizing" president in along time. A Pew poll reported the divide between Democrats and Republicans on President Obama's job was the widest at this juncture of a Presidency.

The right attempted to grab ahold of this and pump it up. It has been knocked down thoroughly and consistently by those who live out side of the Fox New - Limbauch fantasy world. Chuck Todd of NBC quickly explained that one of the biggest reasons this is happening is that moderates are abandoning the republican party leaving it full of the hard core believers. Additionaly, historically Republicans have been less likely to approve of a Democratic President than Democrats are of approving of a Republican President. Thirdly, over the last 30 years the polarizing of American partisanship has continually increased from President to President.

When all is left is the hardcore believers they wouldn't even approve of President Obama if he successfully freed an American hostage held by pirates, killing 3 of the pirates and arresting the 4th. Hmmm.


So what we are left with is Democrats who have a highly favorable rating of the President, Independants who have a favorable rating in the high 50s - to 60%, and the republicans who are topping out at about 25 - 30%. That still leaves one in four republicans approving of the Presidents job.

My question, what about those moderates that are leaving the Republican party.
The most logical assumption is that they are going to reclassify themselves as Independant. It is doubtful they are jumping all the way over to Democrat. Let's assume that they are moving over one column to Ind. My assumption is that at least half if not more still might not approve of the job of President Obama, they simply do not consider themselves republican currently.

This whole exercise come from the thought that since the loss of moderae republicans is weighing the republicans down to a higher disapproval rating of the President's job approval. It is also proabable that the newly added ex-republicans who are self classify as Indapendants probably are also weighing down the Independant approval rating of the President. If you took out those additional new Independants the approval rating for that group would rise.

Monday, April 13, 2009

Country First?

I have an acquaintance who calls himself an independant. Who has become quite anti-Obama, wondered out loud after the election would you see Republicans and the right wish bad things for American in order to see President Obama fail.

Well we have already played out the Rush Limbaugh argument about "I hope he fails" in fixing the housing crisis, turning around unemployment, fixing the banking crisis, and the economy. We see how many of the Republican politicians have fallen in lock step with Rush.

Now let's see what the Right Wing pundits and reporters have to say regarding the recent Pirate Hostage crisis.



You watch, You decide.

About those parties

http://www.nytimes.com/2009/04/13/opinion/13krugman.html?_r=1

Thus, President Obama is being called a “socialist” who seeks to destroy capitalism. Why? Because he wants to raise the tax rate on the highest-income Americans back to, um, about 10 percentage points less than it was for most of the Reagan administration. Bizarre.

Friday, April 10, 2009

Get a grip

You know in the good old days. Now that is a saying I never use. But any way. I do remember the way politics was played for many years. It was played in this manner by both sides with varying degrees of success.

The opposite side would take something the other side believed, said and twisted and exaggerated it to sound horrible.

Some where along the line there is no longer a need to find that initial strand of truth to exaggerate about. I just heard on right wing radio that President Obama was afraid to make a statement about the hostage situation at sea because he was afraid to offend the king of Saudi Arabia, and that we should invest more in hybrid boats so the hijackers wouldn't run out of fuel. The sad thing is that there appears to be a audience of about 28% of the American population that is susceptible to this kind of dribble.

The Not so "Silent" Not so "Majority"




And Glen Beck truly wonders why people suggest such outrageous talk from him and others could be attributed to the violent actions of people across America.

This is reaching the level that the Presidential campaign reached at the Palin - McCain rallies. Glen Beck believes (or pretends to believes) that he is speaking for the silent oppressed majority. Anyone watching the polls knows that President Obama's approval rating is staying right at 60% about 7% percent higher than the actual vote he received. His approval is almost universal across policy and position.

I understand why entertainers can afford to incite an ever shrinking base of voters they need just enough of a niche market to make themselves rich. It has worked marvelously for Hannity, Limbaugh, and now Beck. Politicians on the other hand need to appeal to more than just that shrinking base.



I once heard a business concept that it is not good to be increasing market share in a market that is decreasing. This appears to be exactly what is happening on the right. They are succeeding in increasingly excite the ever shrinking percentage of voters. This concept is a relic left over from Rove - Bush. The concept was to excite the base, scare the middle and suppress the left. This works when the base is close to half of the population. Not so much when your base is topping out 30% and the middle is siding with the President by a decent majority of the time.


Wednesday, April 8, 2009

Lobbyists are like Onions they have layers.

Often times as I observe what is going on out in the ether of our political world things don't add up until a few layers are peeled back. I am often awakened with a "eureka" moment.

I may have just stumbled upon one today. I posted a couple of days ago about the mass hysteria about Obama was going to take people's guns away. Watch what you say re: guns. There has always been a bit of disconnect on this topic for me. As I mentioned I have paid attention to Obama for quite some time and have never gotten the sense that gun control was on his radar.
Nonetheless, many on the right have been foaming at the mouth about this subject.

I came across the following article that was actually published back in November. The gist of the article is something like this. The NRA of course is one of the strongest lobby groups in American Politics is funded largely by the "Gun Industry". The NRA spent amounts huge last summer and last fall warning everyone who would listen that Obama would come after their guns. There flyer's and ads and tv appearances ,however, were essentially made up out of whole clothe. They were not about to let facts get in the way of a good story.

http://www.nytimes.com/2008/11/07/us/07guns.html

What is clear is that every gun seller — not to mention every advocacy group for gun ownership that depends on dues-paying members — has an incentive to stoke the concern that can prompt a gun sale. Political uncertainty, gun dealers say, is great for business. … “Clinton was the best gun salesman the gun manufacturers ever had,” said Rick Gray, owner of the Accuracy Gun Shop in Las Vegas. “Obama’s going to be right up there with him.”



Gun Industry

The result of all this "campaigning / advertising" the surge in gun and ammo sales began shortly after Obama was nominated and geared up into high speed when became clear Obama was going to win. Netting 30 - 50% increase in sales and an increase in membership = membership dues in the NRA. Hmmm. Could it be the money spend last year and the talking points were as much about stirring up business as it was stirring up votes.

Makes you wonder.

Who 'da thunk?

The Daily Show With Jon StewartM - Th 11p / 10c
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The clip demonstrates two points that I have made previously. 1) I am constantly amazed on how many people are "surprised" "concerned" when President Obama does what Senator Obama had campaigned on. 2) It takes shows like The Daily Show to put our political news "into context" . Yet again The Daily Show proves apt at crystallizing what is going in a humorous and entertaining way. I guess it makes it easier when hypocrisy is funny.



Monday, April 6, 2009

Watch what you say.

You'll notice there was no specific mention of what the Obama Administration was supposedly doing. As a person who would not mind seeing additional control on some of our guns and a person who watches this administration very closely am not aware of any actual steps taken or suggested to take away gun rights in this country.

I am concerned that many on the right do not truly believe what they are saying but simply making statements to rile up the base. Which is extremely scary in light of the following.





There are a number of things in this inteview that are worrisome. How many people do you know that walk around worried about the zionist controlled government. Where did this young man and his best friend get the idea that the government was going to take away his guns.

I have to wonder does Glenn Beck consider this guy to be one of "we" who is doing the surrounding or is he one of "them" being surrounded?

Friday, March 6, 2009

Tale of Two Senators

Missouri politics I am finding out very much like Illinois, in that they are interesting to watch. Missouri has two Senators just like everyone else (except Minnesota...). We currently are served by one Republican and one Democrat. The Republican has served for many years he is high ranking member in the minority. The Democrat was an early and vocal supporter of Candidate Obama.


One is has become very effective for bringing home the pork to the state and the other cosponsored a bill with John McCain fighting "earmarks" .

Let's look at the video to see which is which.


Claire is my Senator. Even though We only moved here two years ago. I watched her election closely back 2004 as it was one of the last two the give the Democrats control of the senate. I have been impressed every since. Especially when see came out so early and strong supporting Obama, while Hillary Clinton was still in the race.

One more thing, she was one of the first Senators that I know that used twitter. She seems to have a real feel for it's ability to stay in touch and doesn't come off out of place. Take a look for yourself. http://twitter.com/clairecmc

Wednesday, March 4, 2009

Rush to judgement

When I as out running this morning I started thinking about the hoopla over Rush and the Republicans. The final thought was that someone on the Democratic side was doing a masterful job of stoking the controversy. On one hand I was kind of happy to see this being done so effectively. The result could well be to splinter the Republican party.

Simple facts and math tell you that for entertainers such as Rush and Hannity that a following of 5 - 20 million people can make you very, very wealthy. They have cultivated this following very carefully over many years. The result is that these are the most diehard of the "conservative" movement. The problem is this following alone won't win many elections.

Now this is what worked for Rove with Rush's help in 2000 and 2004. They were able to inflame their base with nonsense. They were able to satisfy just enough independents to tie the election. The problem they have know is kind of like fool me once shame on you, fool me twice shame on me. The public wasn't falling for that again. Obama not only ignited the democratic base he created a new base of African Americans, especially those who hadn't voted before, discouraged people who hadn't voted in a long time, college kids and young voters.

As a result no matter how excited Palin was able to get the base this strategy was bound to fail and fail it did handily. Now the Republicans find themselves reaching for a direction. Somehow the default has fallen upon Rush Lindbaugh.

This started with a highly noticed but seemingly off the cuff comment by President Obama.

“You can’t just listen to Rush Limbaugh and get things done,” he told top GOP leaders, whom he had invited to the White House to discuss his nearly $1 trillion stimulus package.


This statement was made just 3 days after taking office. It elevated Rush back onto the national stage in the middle of a very important debate. Rush took the bait hook, line, and sinker. Of course President Obama was responding to Rush's statment that "I hope he fails" . Which has lived on and repeated this weekend. The Republicans took the ball and ran with it ever since. There has since been three GOP politicians who have publicly apologize to Rush for disagreeing with him.

The Democrats have spent little time pouncing on this. The Rush Limbaugh Apology machiney. Tim Kaine's statement from the DNC. DNC Chair Kaine's Statement.

AUC has come out with a couple of adds on this topic.



And how about this one.


As the republicans are eating their young a story appears that provides just a little background to all of this. J. Martin over at Politico is reporting on the background in a very detailed report.
Rsuh Job.

The seeds were planted in October after Democracy Corps, the Democratic polling company run by Carville and Greenberg, included Limbaugh’s name in a survey and found that many Americans just don’t like him.“His positives for voters under 40 was 11 percent,” Carville recalled with a degree of amazement, alluding to a question about whether voters had a positive or negative view of the talk show host.

Paul Begala, a close friend of Carville, Greenberg and White House Chief of Staff Rahm Emanuel, said they found Limbaugh’s overall ratings were even lower than the Rev. Jeremiah Wright, Obama’s controversial former pastor, and William Ayers, the domestic terrorist and Chicago resident who Republicans sought to tie to Obama during the campaign.


Now on the other hand. While it is good to see a big hot air bag get tangled and most likely do great harm to party of the few, I am hopefull that this is not to be a mainline business for the Obama administration. Politics is dirty business and this is softball compared to what the Bushies undertook (See Valerie Plame). I will enjoy the show for now and acknowledge it may well give President Obama the additional leverage to do the things he was elected to do. To be honest with myself I will have to keep an eye open on where it goes. You know on second thought compared to Plamegate this is simply good honest fun.

Tuesday, March 3, 2009

Surprise, Surprise

There have been two main thoughts that keep coming back to me in this first 100 days of President Obama's tenure. The first I have posted on a number of times. That is calling out the intellectual dishonesty that runs rampant in DC. The Second is that I am constantly amazed that people are surprised at President Obama doing what he said he would do on the campaign trail.

Roger Simon over at Politico using his column today to talk about it. Keeping Promises, Surprising?


It was just a little more than two years ago, on a very cold day in Springfield, Ill., that Obama announced for the presidency by saying he was running “not just to hold an office but to gather with you to transform a nation.”

Tuesday, February 24, 2009

President vs. Congress


This chart is a combination of the 5 most current polls regardin America's feelings toward the President and Congress.

(I am working with Google Docs so please excuse the fact that my labeling didn't work)


Results by Row

President Approval rating 64%
President Bringing Change 71%
President Being Bi-partisan 70%

Congressional Dems Approval 48%

Congressional Repubs Appr. 35%
Congressiona Repubs being Bi-partisan 33%.

Let's restate that in video.

Saturday, February 21, 2009

Here we go again

The only joy of being the minority party, especially one that has very little power, is that you don't have to accomplish or do anything. This is true no matter who is in power. However, it appears our current day nay-sayers are going overboard to rewrite history. I mentioned earlier their attempt to rewrite history. This concept is getting played out vis-a-vie Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. It is almost impossible to hear a conservative or a republican commentator or politician speaking about the housing crisis without the the F words coming out of their mouths.

House Minority Leader John Boehner leads the way with such statements as


"Why should we reward Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac with $200 billion in taxpayer dollars without first reforming these housing entities that were at the heart of the economic meltdown?" House Minority Leader John A. Boehner (R-Ohio) said in a statement.
There are two main reasons the conservatives of the world such as Larry Kudlow like to spew this talking point. The first is the continued attempt to de-legitimzie the successes of the New Deal. Fannie was established as a New Deal program to stabilize the housing market. Secondly This fits into their dis-proven narrative that the whole economic mess is a result of mean old democratic politicians forcing companies to give loans to poor, lazy, no good people. "See what happens when you let people interfere with the invisible hand of the market". My understanding of the invisible hand of the market works to prevent business from doing bad things because they won't have any customers after a while, Hmmmm. Also when customers do find out all the trouble that has been inflicted on the general market, customers will punish them by not utitlizing their services causing the business financial hardship, double Hmmmm.


http://www.salon.com/tech/htww/2008/09/08/fannie_and_freddie_bail_out/


"A point that gets easy to miss in the current hullabaloo over the bailout is that Fannie and Freddie were not primarily responsible for either the housing boom or its bust. That responsibility is more fully borne by the non-government sponsored enterprises who play in the real estate market -- the private mortgage lenders, commercial banks, investment banks and myriad institutional and hedge fund investors who engaged in an orgy of exotic mortgage loan and mortgage security innovation and speculation. Toward the very end of the boom, Fannie and Freddie did begin to get more involved in subprime loans and related derivative markets, but that was because they were losing market share to the fully private sector."


Something else that falls into this logic is that it was a terrible thing that over the past 15 years or so the home ownership rates have increased from a historical average of 64% to around 70-72%. This additional 6 - 8 % of home ownership was a bad thing. I am guessing the thinking is that these additional percentages were the lazy, no good people getting into the market and screwing it all up for the rest of us.

Now I do agree that a big part of the housing problem was people getting into mortgages that they could not handle. Although I question, that all of this was the last 6 - 8 %. It seems to me that a lot of people who got caught up in these bad mortgages, were people who were looking to upgrade. I am guessing a lot of middle income people saw the shining new house and the hill and decided they could make it work. They would just get a ARM and refi when it was time. Then when it was time they eventually found themselves in trouble.

So to suggest that this trouble was brought on by the bottom rungs of the housing customers is suspect. I do believe in general it is better for more people to own their homes. It is just as important that all people can afford the homes they own.



Another important note on this fallacy that is being shouted from every roof top. Fannie and Freddie are owned by.....You and Me (otherwise known as the taxpayers).