Saturday, September 20, 2008

Focus on MO

Since we are located here in the middle of the middle of the country in mid-missouri there will be an attempt to focus on the Missouri race. We found some polling information from Research 2000 via fivetirtyeight.com showing a 4 gap between McCain and Obama. While it is possible for Obama to win without Mo it is not possible for McCain to win with out MO. Nate Silver notes that Obama has not step foot here since July. However, Biden was well recieved in Columbia a couple of weeks ago.


Let's start in Missouri, where a Research 2000 poll for the St. Louis Post-Dispatch gives McCain a 4 point lead. Research 2000 had been just about the only poll to show a lead for Obama in Missouri before, and with that evaporating, the state would seem to be pretty unlikely to change colors. Although Obama has a robust field operation in Missouri, he has not visited the state since July. Indiana -- where the McCain campaign is gambling by not fielding a ground organization and which is partly in Chicago's backyard -- may present the more interesting opportunity.


I can assure you here in central Missouri which will be one of the keys to winning the state the field organization is going strong. There will be five canvassing runs this weekend. I will be going out tommorrow. There continues to be a swell of people coming in and getting involved.

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