Focus on Mo. Some Mo.

Just started reading through some research 2000 MO poll. Which can be found here . http://www.dailykos.com/story/2008/9/20/0313/31602


Some quick thoughts. Baker is behind by nine in the district while in this district only Obama is behind by 19. First this illustrates why the work we are doing here in Mid Missouri especially in Columbia is so important to make Missouri possible. Secondly looking at the demographic break down the the 18 - 29 age group strikes me as possibly being low. Now I don't pretend to be a statistician or know the historical averages right off. However, personal experience which can be overweighted way too easy tells me there is going to be a stronger turnout in this category. New registrations are up. The Universty population is very active and excited by the race. The Obama campaign is working night and day to locate, identify and mobilize this group. My suspicion is that in this race there is a good chance that even though Obama appears to be drag in the current polling he will actually help Baker on election day. Obama and Nixon are going to be very attractive top of the ticket people to this group of voters and may well carry on down the line.