Tuesday, February 2, 2010

Bump and Trend

There is no reason (yet) to believe this is anything but a short term bump. It is fun to look at none the less. The graph depicts the two national tracking polls of President Obama's approval rating. The dates are Tuesday the 26 the day before the Sate of the Union address through today.

The initial reports were that he got only a modest bump of 1 point from the State of the Union. However, couple that with the events from Friday through Monday and it is possibly the beginning of a trend. Without having looked at the internal numbers too carefully, my instinct tells me many a number of dissatisfied supporters have been impressed over the last week and currently are back in the fold.

I also suspect that there might be some modest movement at the margins from independents. It is fun to watch. That is until it reverses.


Click here if the graph doesn't work

Okay if the graph doesn't show up, this is what it says

Jan 26 51% disprove 47% approve = -4% approval rating
Feb 2 43% disprove 51% approve = 8% approval rating

Totaling a 12 point swing in less than a week. Again the samples are small and the time frame is short, but definately worth watching.

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